Here is the main argument (aka the argument I’ll give on Friday).
1. Arguments for free will skepticism are no better or worse than arguments for epistemological skepticism.
2. If any argument for epistemological skepticism is cogent, then among the things we don’t know is that we don’t know that we don’t have free will.
3. Therefore, there are no cogent arguments for free will skepticism.
Today and tomorrow I provide support for premise 1. Premise 2 is clearly true.
I was unsuccessful in establishing my first thesis: All arguments for free will skepticism are parasitic on arguments for incompatibilism. There were at least two potential counterexamples to this claim: Double’s argument and Levy’s argument. This complicates my support for premise 1.
In order to motivate premise 1, we must first establish commonalities between arguments for free will skepticism and arguments for epistemological skepticism. Toward this end, consider 4 types of argument for epistemological skepticism.
I. The argument for (epistemological) skepticism is a contemporary argument for the conclusion that no one knows anything. Descartes, Moore, and Putnam (among others) offer versions of the argument. It is the argument we likely have in mind when we refer to films like The Matrix to support of our (epistemically) skeptical intuitions. The formal structure of the argument for skepticism is controversial but here is a plausible interpretation.
- S does not know that not-H.
- If S knows that O, then S knows that not-H.
- So, S does not know that O.
Let S be any person, O be any ordinary belief, and H be some skeptical hypothesis. Then the argument form suggests that for any person and any ordinary belief, there is a skeptical hypothesis that epistemically undermines the belief.
For instance, you might think that you have a hand (ordinary belief). But you could be a brain-in-a-vat (BIV; skeptical hypothesis). You don’t know that you’re not a BIV – after all, the evidence would be the same either way. Thus, you don’t know that you have a hand. If you knew that you had a hand, then you could rule out that you were a BIV, for BIVs don’t have hands. Yet you can’t rule that out.
Premise (2) is supported by an epistemic closure principle. The actual principle is controversial but here is a plausible version. Let Kp = p is knowable:
This bears some similarity to Beta-like transfer principles.
[Side note: I’m interested in knowing whether anyone thinks that this is a fair rendering of the argument for skepticism.]
II. The ancient trilemma: This discussion is saved for tomorrow. There are strong similarities between Strawson’s argument and the ancient trilemma.
III & IV: Luck arguments and metaphilosophical arguments: I won’t spend any more time this week discussing these issues – which is a shame since Neil’s work and Double's work are original and compelling contributions to the literature. I’ll get back to Neil in week 3, and maybe even Richard. I brought Richard’s book home with me, so I might get a chance! Here are just a few superficial comparisons worthy of further consideration.
First, worries about epistemological luck are pervasive. Arguments from epistemological luck to epistemological skepticism are equally pervasive.
Second, with Double there are difficulties. For one thing, it is not clear that Richard’s view is a version of free will skepticism – and I’m just talking about the view in Metaphilosophy and Free Will (1996). This view is similar to Peter Unger’s view in Philosophical Relativity (1984). In an important sense, both views go beyond skepticism. In as much as they are a kind of skepticism, Unger gives arguments against knowledge as well as against free will.
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